I suppose just about any theory could be right, but from what we know regarding the Mideast is whatever we think or predict is usually wrong. Maybe, had we gone into Afghanistan and quickly marginalized al Qaeda, then worked a deal with Pakistan, we could have left shortly after entering that region. But we never quite know in the Mideast, and it's because the reality of the mideast is very, very foreign to the US. We will likely never understand one another. The best we can do is let the nations of that region know that we are prepared to leave and never interfere again, but, if attacked, we'll return with force -- not with money, and troops as sitting ducks, but with plain force. Otherwise, let's declare peace and move forward. If can peacefully trade, then let's trade, but let's stop killing one another, because in the War on Terror, there are no winners, just plenty of losers.