Over and over I hear the same analysis -- Romney is weak, and Obama is gaining momentum in a recovering economy. I hear it so so much it sounds like the pundits are doing less analysis and more promotion of a narrative. It just doesn't seem solid. I realize that Obama has an advantage. MSM and Hollywood and community organizers and union organizers and college professors and the many, many government employees are all in the Obama camp rooting for their man. Poor Romney doesn't even have Fox News. Fox is pushing the story of a weak and unpopular Romney barely winning with an everpresent threat over one of his shoulders, yet Romney continues to win. George Will is even saying Obama will win.
I'm not sure how much the political class believes anything it promotes, but if most of these pundits believe what they're saying, they aren't convincing, and the facts are not on their side. The economy might be recovering according to a technical definition of recovery from recession, but it's so weak and shaky no one can tell there's a recovery. If we include workers who've dropped out of the work force, and workers who are working in low-paying jobs below what they once had, the employment situation is bleak. If you include oil prices and food prices, then we have high inflation. Housing sales continue to stall out. Afghanistan is imploding, and Iraq is on the brink of coming apart at the seams. Obama is blustering about war with Iran, which would be a catastrophe. Pulling our troops back into a war that will be four times the intensity of Iraq could demoralize our military. What do we hope to accomplish in the Mideast?
The political class might be right. Obama might be a sure winner, and Romney might be winning by a fluke, but it sure doesn't seem this is the siutation when you look at the facts.